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Projecting the 2026 NFL Draft Order: Who’s Snagging the Top 10 After Week 7?
Alright, NFL fans, let’s talk about the future – specifically, the distant future of the 2026 NFL Draft! Yeah, I know, we’re barely halfway through the 2025 season, but it’s never a bad time to peek into the crystal ball and see which teams might be battling it out for those coveted top picks.
We’re diving into this draft order prediction using ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI). Think of FPI as your nerdy friend who loves crunching numbers. Each week, the FPI runs 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, factoring in team ratings and where the games are being played. The final draft order is determined by the projected record for each team after 17 games and their average draft position across all those simulations.
So, who’s looking at a potential goldmine in the draft? And which teams might be pleasantly surprised with a better pick than they expected? Let’s break it down, focusing on those juicy top 10 spots.
The Top 10: A Glimpse at Tomorrow’s Gridiron Stars
1. New York Jets (0-7)
- Average Draft Position: 2.7
- Chance of No. 1 Pick: 39.6%
- Chance of Top-5 Pick: 89.3%
- Chance of Top-10 Pick: 99.1%
Oof. It’s tough being a Jets fan right now. According to the FPI, they’re the frontrunners for the No. 1 overall pick. The numbers suggest a very high likelihood of landing a top-five talent. The big question is, what position do they target? Quarterback, anyone?
2. Tennessee Titans (1-6)
- Average Draft Position: 3.4
- Chance of No. 1 Pick: 21.6%
- Chance of Top-5 Pick: 84.2%
- Chance of Top-10 Pick: 97.9%
The Titans are sitting pretty high on this list. They’re in desperate need of an offensive spark, so a top wide receiver or offensive lineman could be in their future. The AFC South is tough, so they’ll need to turn things around quickly to avoid a significant rebuild.
3. Miami Dolphins (1-6)
- Average Draft Position: 4.6
- Chance of No. 1 Pick: 14.0%
- Chance of Top-5 Pick: 69.4%
- Chance of Top-10 Pick: 94.5%
Miami, Miami, Miami. What’s going on in South Beach? They have some offensive talent, but injuries and inconsistent play have plagued them. A top-tier defensive player could be what they need to bolster their defense.